Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts
  • Author : Stéphane Vannitsem
  • Release Date : 17 May 2018
  • Publisher : Elsevier
  • Genre : Science
  • Pages : 362
  • ISBN 13 : 9780128122488

Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts Book Summary

Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts brings together chapters contributed by international subject-matter experts describing the current state of the art in the statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts. The book illustrates the use of these methods in several important applications including weather, hydrological and climate forecasts, and renewable energy forecasting. After an introductory section on ensemble forecasts and prediction systems, the second section of the book is devoted to exposition of the methods available for statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts: univariate and multivariate ensemble postprocessing are first reviewed by Wilks (Chapters 3), then Schefzik and Möller (Chapter 4), and the more specialized perspective necessary for postprocessing forecasts for extremes is presented by Friederichs, Wahl, and Buschow (Chapter 5). The second section concludes with a discussion of forecast verification methods devised specifically for evaluation of ensemble forecasts (Chapter 6 by Thorarinsdottir and Schuhen). The third section of this book is devoted to applications of ensemble postprocessing. Practical aspects of ensemble postprocessing are first detailed in Chapter 7 (Hamill), including an extended and illustrative case study. Chapters 8 (Hemri), 9 (Pinson and Messner), and 10 (Van Schaeybroeck and Vannitsem) discuss ensemble postprocessing specifically for hydrological applications, postprocessing in support of renewable energy applications, and postprocessing of long-range forecasts from months to decades. Finally, Chapter 11 (Messner) provides a guide to the ensemble-postprocessing software available in the R programming language, which should greatly help readers implement many of the ideas presented in this book. Edited by three experts with strong and complementary expertise in statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts, this book assesses the new and rapidly developing field of ensemble forecast postprocessing as an extension of the use of statistical corrections to traditional deterministic forecasts. Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts is an essential resource for researchers, operational practitioners, and students in weather, seasonal, and climate forecasting, as well as users of such forecasts in fields involving renewable energy, conventional energy, hydrology, environmental engineering, and agriculture. Consolidates, for the first time, the methodologies and applications of ensemble forecasts in one succinct place Provides real-world examples of methods used to formulate forecasts Presents the tools needed to make the best use of multiple model forecasts in a timely and efficient manner

Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts

Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts

Author : Stéphane Vannitsem,Daniel S. Wilks,Jakob Messner
Publisher : Elsevier
Genre : Science
Total View : 6052 Views
File Size : 54,8 Mb
Get Book

Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts brings together chapters contributed by international subject-matter experts describing the current state of the art in the statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts. The book illustrates the use of these methods in several important applications including weather, hydrological and climate forecasts, and renewable energy forecasting. After ...

Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts

Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts

Author : Stéphane Vannitsem,Jakob Messner,Daniel S. Wilks
Publisher : Unknown
Genre : Uncategorized
Total View : 6459 Views
File Size : 52,5 Mb
Get Book

Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts brings together contributed chapters by international subject-matter experts, describing the current state-of-the-art in statistical post-processing of ensemble forecasts and illustrating the use of these methods in several important applications, including weather, hydrological and climate forecasts, and renewable energy forecasting. Edited by three experts with strong ...

Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences

Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences

Author : Daniel S. Wilks
Publisher : Academic Press
Genre : Science
Total View : 5794 Views
File Size : 51,5 Mb
Get Book

Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences, Third Edition, explains the latest statistical methods used to describe, analyze, test, and forecast atmospheric data. This revised and expanded text is intended to help students understand and communicate what their data sets have to say, or to make sense of the scientific literature ...

Handbook of Hydrometeorological Ensemble Forecasting

Handbook of Hydrometeorological Ensemble Forecasting

Author : Qingyun Duan,Florian Pappenberger,Jutta Thielen,Hannah L. Cloke,John Schaake
Publisher : Unknown
Genre : Hydrogeology
Total View : 5986 Views
File Size : 41,7 Mb
Get Book

" . . . This handbook offers unrivalled coverage of today's cutting-edge techniques in flood and weather prediction. The ensemble technique, which generates multiple forecasts from differing initial parameters, is a high-profile research target with the potential to enhance the accuracy of forecasting and reduce the loss of life and damage to property caused ...

Seasonal Climate  Forecasting and Managing Risk

Seasonal Climate Forecasting and Managing Risk

Author : Alberto Troccoli,Mike Harrison,David L.T. Anderson,Simon J. Mason
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Genre : Science
Total View : 4702 Views
File Size : 50,7 Mb
Get Book

Originally formed around a set of lectures presented at a NATO Advanced Study Institute (ASI), this book has grown to become organised and presented rather more as a textbook than as a standard "collection of proceedings". This therefore is the first unified reference ‘textbook’ in seasonal to interannual climate predictions ...

IEA Wind Recommended Practice for the Implementation of Renewable Energy Forecasting Solutions

IEA Wind Recommended Practice for the Implementation of Renewable Energy Forecasting Solutions

Author : Corinna Möhrlen,John W. Zack,Gregor Giebel
Publisher : Academic Press
Genre : Medical
Total View : 7336 Views
File Size : 44,8 Mb
Get Book

IEA Wind Recommended Practices for the Implementation of Renewable Energy Forecasting Solutions translates decades of academic knowledge and standard requirements into applicable procedures and decision support tools for the energy industry. Designed specifically for practitioners in the energy industry, readers will find the tools to maximize the value of renewable ...

Hydraulic and Civil Engineering Technology VI

Hydraulic and Civil Engineering Technology VI

Author : M. Yang,J.C.G. Lanzinha,X. Bao
Publisher : IOS Press
Genre : Technology & Engineering
Total View : 6276 Views
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Get Book

New technologies, such as improved testing and physical modeling methods, together with numerical studies and other novel techniques, have led to many developments in the fields of hydraulic and civil engineering in recent years. This book presents proceedings from HCET 2021, the 6th International Technical Conference on Frontiers of Hydraulic and ...

Signal and Information Processing  Networking and Computers

Signal and Information Processing Networking and Computers

Author : Songlin Sun,Meixia Fu,Lexi Xu
Publisher : Springer
Genre : Technology & Engineering
Total View : 6117 Views
File Size : 40,8 Mb
Get Book

This proceedings book presents selected papers from the 5th Conference on Signal and Information Processing, Networking and Computers (ICSINC), held in Yuzhou, China, from November 29 to December 1, 2018. It focuses on the current research in a wide range of areas in the fields of information theory, communication systems, computer science, signal ...